The comic strip reinforces how poor El Nino forecasts have been in the past. Soon enough machine learning will reproduce the correlation to long-period tidal forcing, substantiated by extensive cross-validation. The interval between 1940 and 1950 was not touched by a hand of god (i.e. the fitting procedure).
Would like to receive your additional thoughts on this. Also there is an assumed determinism of some kind between ENSO states and frostiness/turbulence of land falling tropical storms. How is that causality holding up? And if it’s not a Judea Pearl causality, is there a Propensity Score connection? And then same question of time evolution of this.
I think the big connection will be revealed in Tropical Wave Instabilities or in the Madden-Julien Oscillation, which are the faster scale versions of ENSO. MJO is just a shift of the ENSO SOI by 21 days! Is anyone in climate science even aware of this?
https://imagizer.imageshack.com/img921/7305/bXNFwm.png
https://geoenergymath.com/2020/02/21/the-mjo/
possible Propensity Measures : https://chat.openai.com/share/68a4de63-4e08-4857-a20f-90e6f0c7ebb8
I honestly think your all mental.
I can’t past pictures here but if I could I would simply paste a graph of the Arctic ice mass over that time period and show how it had melted to similar levels to now and simy say look, the world had more liquid water available then so why do you think the storms were bigger hey. Obviously not the abundance of extra water caused by the melting ice cap.
It’s like the chandler wobble. Before an excitement in the wobble it is observed that there is desalination of sea water (this means more fresh went into the ocean, that’s how you desalinate it) you see increased pressure at sea depth (only way to cause this is with more liquid water so that can only come from ice so again means the ice melted) you also see increased pressure in atmospheric pressure (again caused by higher ocean levels which again can only come from more liquid water which comes from ice so again it means the ice mass melted)
You lot – it was a big storm (your an idiot, bigger storms means more liquid water which means the ice mass must have melted because water is either ice or liquid so if there is more of one there has to be less of the other)
No, no – it’s the moon and bigger tides (your an idiot, in order to have larger tides, just like bigger storms, you need more liquid water for the moon to drag around so again it’s blatantly obvious the ice mass must have melted)
You lot are insane. Stop looking at the world as a rocky planet and see it for what it is a liquid storage tank with safety features. It’s safety features are bursting discs (volcanoes) and floating tank walls (tectonic plates). Liquid tanks need these because on hot days when the sun shines on them the medium in the tank expands and tries to expand past it’s tank walls so it needs them so it don’t blow up, in the winter it will implode as the medium in the tank contracts.
Just because the earth is big and the magma already hot doesn’t mean it won’t still expand when the earth is closer to the sun. We have seen a hell of a lot more volcanic eruptions since 2018 to now than I have ever seen in my life. This was the earth blowing it’s discs. The floating tank walls are activated now which is why we are having huge earthquakes. The expansion phase is at its peak right now. The ice melts on the 18th year every century causing mass flooding in the 21st year. This has recordedly happened already. In 1818 the ice melted until 1828 in 1918 it melted but then the world wars exaggerated it meaning it stayed expanded until they ended. This century it melted 2018 just look at the hockey stick graph. It’s all a big cycle and you lot are incapable of stepping back and seeing the whole picture.
Anyway, I wonder what could cause the wobble, who knows. I wonder why there are bigger storms whilst the ice has melted. What a god damn mystery hey. Maybe you’ll figure it out one day. Maybe it’s the moon, who knows.