Revisit Sea Level Pressure paper

Revisiting the post An obvious clue from tidal data, which is an analysis of this paper The effect of regional sea level atmospheric pressure on …

Time series plot showing atmospheric pressure in millibars (mbar) in New York, USA, from 1850 to 2025, with data points scattered around the range of 980 to 1040 mbar.

At the time, I did not try to duplicate the results, but after coming across it again, curiosity got the best of me. The program to duplicate the results is in this GIST: Analysis of SLP from PSMSL stations, using HadSLP2.

The author really didn’t clarify that the striations/bands/gaps in readings (above from paper and recreated below, left) were simply due to the discrete nature of monthly readings placed against a strong seasonal variation. For example, the NYC (The Battery) and Boston location have a significant seasonal SLP response due to the geographic characteristic of cold-season continental highs alternating with warm-season lower-pressure maritime regimes.

Scatter plot showing sea level pressure in New York from 1840 to 2020, with a detailed breakdown on the right illustrating monthly data gaps.

For New York, explain this figure [📷 nyc_monthly_slp.png]. On the right the values are replotted as (Month modulo 12) to indicate which months corresponded to the left.

Copilot response:

A code snippet displaying analysis related to the monthly sea-level pressure in New York, with a focus on seasonal effects and pressure clusters for different months.

Of course there is other stuff lurking in the data, so it is good to have the HadSLP2 as an adjunct to the PSMSL data I am using here

Consider the Honolulu SLP data below. There’s a clear Hovmller-like sloped ridge in the data, as one’s eye can detect, emphasized by the highlighter.

Line graph depicting data trends in Honolulu from 1840 to 2020, with four highlighted yellow trend lines and scattered blue data points.

The testing of lines in the rotated frame of the form u = p - s t finds this in the power spectrum. See It reads a HadSLP2 TSV, searches over diagonal slopes in rotated coordinates u = pressure – slope * time, identifies the strongest ridge, writes the power spectrum and ridge profile as TSVs, and saves a PNG with the ridge overplotted on the scatter plus the spectrum. See the previous GIST

Graph showing the Honolulu rotated-band power spectrum for the lower band 1006.5-1013.5 hPa, illustrating power against propagation period in years, with a peak at 114.2 years marked by a dashed red line.

A plausible explanation is a multidecadal modulation of the regional seasonal SLP cycle by North Pacific basin circulation variability, of which PDO/IPO variability is a plausible contributor.

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